2/1/2024 0 Comments Strategic foresight![]() ![]() You can further utilise the results that you’ve gathered, for example, in scenario building or test them with a broader audience by using the Delphi method. Horizon scanning is often the first phase of foresight activities. That is a notable outcome relevant to your work environment, business viewpoints, and how you think about multiple alternative futures. ![]() This information can include, for example, trends and developments in their political, economic, social, technological, and legal environments. For example, are you interested in consumer trends in the near future or the structural changes in your industry in 2040? Use this question as the name for radar.īased on your discussions, define the actions you would need to take toĬreate change that shapes the preferable future for your organisation.Īt this stage, it is important to prioritise things: Which actions can you already take? Which ones could you test/pilot during this or the next year? Which ones require a more significant amount of resources and can be planned for the next few years ahead? Based on your answers to these questions, make an action plan with a defined timeline.Īnd you’re done! Congratulations! It is a time-consuming exercise, but no matter the result (usually quite eye-opening), just by going through the process, you improve your awareness of multiple future changes, which builds the base for futures thinking. Strategic Foresight, also known as Futures Studies, is a discipline organizations use to gather and process information about their future operating environment. the year you want to focus on for your horizon scan. Next, phrase them in the form of questions and add a time frame, i.e. Once you have your shortlist ready, define your research question(s) by selecting one to three topics. Instead design foresight is about knowing where to go, about having a view of the future: a vision of knowing what to build and why. Then, narrow them down by defining the common themes behind these topics. Strategic Foresight Group (SFG) is a think - tank engaged in crafting new policy concepts that enable decision makers to prepare for a future in uncertain. Based in Silicon Valley and drawing on Stanford's legacy for educating world-changing innovators, inventors, and thinkers, foresight does not mean futuring or trend finding. Using a different coloured pencil, write down the common topics that you can observe in several of the issues listed in your paper. In an increasingly complex and rapidly changing world, what is the value of futures thinking and foresight programmes as long-term planning tools in. Then, try to find the common determinant in the background, which will lead you to the core question(s) you need to answer. You can start by making a long list of all the crucial issues you need to be aware of. Let’s make it fun and clear: you need a pencil and paper for this exercise. We like to do it by defining one to three research questions. Watch the panel discussion.In the beginning, it is crucial to narrow down your topic. In 2021, three Fellows from the Center for Strategic Foresight participated in “The Next Century of Accountability: A Conversation with GAO.” At this event, during GAO’s centennial year, Fellows discussed pathways that GAO and other government agencies may take as new and emerging challenges in health, economics and the environment continue to evolve. Strategic foresight is the most valuable tool you can adopt to identify and chart a course for future growth and long-term prosperity. “Deep fakes”-the growing use of AI-generated “synthetic media” to manipulate online and real-world interactions worldwide.įor more information about the conference, read our Septempress release.“Deep space”- the management of space policy across multiple government and private sector organizations and.The aim is not prediction but better preparedness. ![]() The Center’s inaugural conference in September 2019 included a variety of experts and Fellows and explore two complex and emerging topics affecting the nation’s future security: Strategic Foresight methods engage a diversity of disciplinary- and situated-perspectives and create a safe space to reveal, test and constructively contest assumptions and enable consideration of less familiar future possibilities. The Center reflects GAO’s mandate to provide Congress with reliable, fact-based information for overseeing federal agencies and programs. GAO created the Center for Strategic Foresight in 2018 to serve as the agency’s principal hub for identifying, monitoring, and analyzing emerging issues facing policymakers. Against this new geopolitical backdrop, and drawing on a fully-fledged foresight exercise 2, the 2022 Strategic Foresight Report presents a forward-looking strategic reflection on the interactions between the green and digital transitions.
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